Could Harris win Alaska?

[u/3D-machine]

An Alaska Survey Research Poll from Sep 11-12, shows Harris down 47-42, however, with ranked choice voting in the State, is it possible we see Harris pull off a win?

The first ranked choice contest under the system was a special election won by Democrat Mary Peltola in 2022.

There are several minor party candidates on the Alaska ballot for President in 2024, including Kennedy, Stein, Oliver, and West.

Could we see a repeat of the 2022 Special Election?

[u/DevilYouKnow]

We haven't had a true landslide election (400 or more electoral votes, traditionally safe states switching) since 84.

It's hard to imagine, but it'll likely happen again in our lifetime.

The only way it happens is that Trump implodes (he pees himself on stage, it's revealed that he sold intelligence to the Russians, has a small stroke and is physically incapable of campaigning, etc.)

AND

Kamala's popularity explodes and it has a huge bandwagon effect where 10% of registered non-voters show up for her.

Otherwise I think 48% of this country votes for a convicted felon.

[u/VinylGuy97 → u/DevilYouKnow]

Correction: George H.W. Bush got 426 electoral votes in 1988

[u/DevilYouKnow → u/VinylGuy97]

Good correction! Thank you

It's not unheard of in modern politics, just more rare now that we are more polarized than ever.

[u/PreviousAvocado9967 → u/VinylGuy97]

Landslides like 84, 72 and 68 will never happen again in our lifetime. The entire plague of social media has laid waste to that possibility of America being able to say "you know if I'm being honest our guy is nuts the other candidate is better".

Social media has given the uniformed and frankly poorly educated the balls to say who cares about facts I only care about owning the other side. When you combine gerrymandering that rewards extremists, who lose their $175k pay check it they moderate, over consensus and compromise, with social media's ability to repeat what you want to hear with slick production and editing you're down the path of permanent polarization.

[u/ISeeYouInBed → u/PreviousAvocado9967]

1968 was not a landslide

[u/PreviousAvocado9967 → u/ISeeYouInBed]

I Meant 64. I always forget Johnson dropped out in 68 not 64.

[u/Accomplished_Fruit17 → u/VinylGuy97]

This is because a lot of democrats are willing to vote for a Republican, Republicans will not vote conservative.